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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to total 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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