CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accrue 9.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
CeeDee Lamb has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (31.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.3%).
CeeDee Lamb has posted far more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 58.3%.
CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 7.64 yards-per-target vs a 9.37 mark last year.

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