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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to total 10.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.6% pass rate.
  • CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 55.9%.
  • CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 7.10 yards-per-target vs a 9.37 rate last year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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