CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to total 10.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.6% pass rate.
CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 55.9%.
CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 7.10 yards-per-target vs a 9.37 rate last year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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