CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
CeeDee Lamb has compiled a colossal 87.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a less important option in his team's pass attack this week (26.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (33.3% in games he has played).
CeeDee Lamb's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 52.3%.
CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a measly 6.15 yards-per-target vs a 9.37 figure last season.

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