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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • CeeDee Lamb has compiled a colossal 87.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a less important option in his team's pass attack this week (26.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (33.3% in games he has played).
  • CeeDee Lamb's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 52.3%.
  • CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a measly 6.15 yards-per-target vs a 9.37 figure last season.

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