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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 75.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 9.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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