CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
CeeDee Lamb has been much more involved in his team's passing offense this year (28.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.7%).

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) to WRs this year (63.4%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 7.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.84 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the league.

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