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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this season (29.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.7%).
  • CeeDee Lamb has put up far more air yards this season (95.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.5%) versus WRs this year (63.5%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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