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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

CeeDee Lamb has compiled significantly more air yards this year (101.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).

CeeDee Lamb's 75.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 47.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) vs. WRs this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.66 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

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