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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-163).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (23.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).

CeeDee Lamb has posted far more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).

CeeDee Lamb's 74.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 49.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 58.3%.

The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 3rd-least TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.43 per game this year.

The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More CeeDee Lamb Player Props

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