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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (22.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

CeeDee Lamb's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 58.6%.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (56.6%) versus WRs this year (56.6%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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