Cedrick Wilson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
Cedrick Wilson has run fewer routes this year (36.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (23.5%).
Cedrick Wilson checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a stellar 73.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile among WRs.
The New England Patriots safeties project as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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