Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
Cedrick Wilson's 41.7% Route Participation Rate this season reflects an impressive progression in his passing attack volume over last season's 23.5% figure.
After totaling 12.0 air yards per game last season, Cedrick Wilson has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 30.0 per game.
Cedrick Wilson has compiled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
With an outstanding 10.0 adjusted yards per target (84th percentile) this year, Cedrick Wilson ranks among the top WRs in the league in the league.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.
Cedrick Wilson ranks as one of the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.

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