Cedric Tillman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cedric Tillman

NFL · Player Props

Cedric Tillman

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
This year, the shaky Bears pass defense has surrendered a colossal 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
With a weak 50.1% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) this year, Cedric Tillman ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.

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