Cedric Tillman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Cedric Tillman

NFL · Player Props

Cedric Tillman

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-166).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Cedric Tillman has been been lightly used his team's offense, earning a Target Share of just 3.3% this year, which ranks him in the 17th percentile when it comes to WRs.
This year, the fierce Steelers defense has given up a puny 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
The Steelers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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