Carson Wentz TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

TD Passes

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 13, 2022 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.8% red zone pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
Carson Wentz has been among the top touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 2.00 per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to attempt 34.2 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 4th-least passing TDs in the league: 0.80 per game this year.

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