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Carson Wentz
NFL · Player Props
Carson Wentz
QB · Washington Commanders
TD Passes
Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC
NFL Props Carson Wentz TD Passes

Carson Wentz TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -141.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season (74.5%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Commanders have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 51.9% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • Carson Wentz has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL since the start of last season with a 60.9% Completion%, ranking in the 19th percentile.
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