Carson Wentz Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Commanders rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (15.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.8% in games he has played).
Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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