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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Commanders rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.9% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (15.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.8% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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