Carson Wentz Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (+110/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 226.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
Carson Wentz has passed for significantly more yards per game (267.0) this year than he did last year (201.0).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to attempt 34.2 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Carson Wentz has been among the least effective passers in football this year, averaging a measly 6.36 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 19th percentile.

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