Carson Wentz Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Carson Wentz has attempted 36.9 throws per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among QBs.
The Cleveland Browns safeties project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders O-line has given their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Carson Wentz has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 61.5% Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.
Carson Wentz has been among the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 6.20 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 6th percentile.

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