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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Interceptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Carson Wentz Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Carson Wentz has attempted 36.9 throws per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among QBs.

Carson Wentz has averaged 0.71 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 7th percentile among QBs.

The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.45 targets per game this year, grading out as the 4th-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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