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Cameron Brate

Cameron Brate Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

Cameron Brate Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (74.7%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (74.7%).

The Green Bay Packers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Cameron Brate's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.1% to 40.5%.

The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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