Cameron Brate Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Cameron Brate

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Cameron Brate Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
Cameron Brate has notched a colossal 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

Cameron Brate has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing just 63.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging just 6.12 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 9th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the worst tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 4th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.