Cam Akers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to earn 17.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (68.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.2% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 5.50 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB Baker Mayfield in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Rams rank as the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 38.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

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