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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-260).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to be a more integral piece of his team's run game near the end zone this week (62.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (28.6% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-most TDs in the league (1.12 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box against opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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