Cam Akers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Cam Akers's 86.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a remarkable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 78.6% rate.
The Packers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.9%) vs. running backs this year (85.9%).

Favors Under

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.1 plays per game.
Cam Akers has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (17.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (30.5%).

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