Cam Akers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+234/-341).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -341.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Cam Akers's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 22nd percentile for RBs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Cam Akers has been among the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 0.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 4th percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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