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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Cam Akers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+234/-341).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -341.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Cam Akers's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 22nd percentile for RBs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Cam Akers has been among the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 0.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 4th percentile among running backs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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