Cam Akers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Cam Akers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (84.4%) versus running backs since the start of last season (84.4%).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has afforded their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Cam Akers has been among the worst RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.7 receptions per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among RBs.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 10th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.