Cam Akers Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to accumulate 14.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Cam Akers has earned 54.2% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends rank as the 7th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.

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