Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+567/-1150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are massive -12.5-point underdogs.
The projections expect Calvin Ridley to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this game (12.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.0% in games he has played).
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
This year, the anemic Bengals defense has given up a massive 1.00 receiving TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.
The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The model projects the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.1% pass rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (67.0 per game).
Calvin Ridley's 14.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.2.

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