Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1329/-1718).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are big -7-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Texans defense has conceded the 2nd-most TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.
The Houston defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (58.3% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tennessee Titans.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.5 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Calvin Ridley has put up quite a few less air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).
Calvin Ridley's 11.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 43.2.

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