Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-1438).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
Calvin Ridley grades out in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers since the start of last season with a staggering 22.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (only 55.2 per game on average).
With a meager 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
Calvin Ridley grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a measly 48.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile among wide receivers
Calvin Ridley ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.