Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+852/-953).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.
Calvin Ridley ranks in the 80th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season with a colossal 24.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
Calvin Ridley places in the 76th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 38.8 mark since the start of last season.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Giants defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.00 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a 56.2% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Titans.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 49.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile among WRs
Calvin Ridley ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.