Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+841/-1086).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this game, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Titans have been the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 100.0% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect the Titans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.61 seconds per play.
Calvin Ridley has posted a whopping 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Favors Under
With a poor 46.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (12th percentile) last year, Calvin Ridley stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.
The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of Calvin Ridley's trading card last year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (64.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Since the start of last season, the tough Eagles defense has allowed a measly 0.44 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.