Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 12, 2026 12:12 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+682/-1087).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1087.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
Calvin Ridley's 51.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 46.7% mark.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.62 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.

Favors Under

Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football (58.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
Calvin Ridley has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).
Calvin Ridley's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 43.2.

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