Calvin Ridley Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+571/-720).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -490 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -720.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
When talking about air yards, Calvin Ridley grades out in the lofty 78th percentile among WRs last year, accruing a staggering 67.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley has been in the 77th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 43.2 mark last year.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York's collection of CBs has been terrible last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a measly 46.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 10th percentile among WRs
Last year, Calvin Ridley has not caught any touchdowns through the air last year.
Last year, the anemic Jets run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.18 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 6th-worst rate in football.

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