Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 12, 2026 8:47 AM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -209 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
Calvin Ridley's 51.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 46.7% mark.
This year, the weak Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up a colossal 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

Favors Under

Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football (58.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
Calvin Ridley's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 43.2.
Calvin Ridley's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a material decline in his receiving ability over last season's 2.0 rate.

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