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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Calvin Ridley's 17.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass game volume over last year's 23.6% mark.
  • Calvin Ridley's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a significant drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.6 rate.

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