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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With an impressive 91.4% Route Participation Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley rates among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Calvin Ridley comes in as one of the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

The Dolphins pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.5%) to WRs since the start of last season (69.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Calvin Ridley's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 58.9% to 49.4%.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

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