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Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.The projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 7.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Calvin Ridley checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.Calvin Ridley profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing just 58.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile among WRs
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