Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a lackluster 55.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (11th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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