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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
  • The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a lackluster 55.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (11th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
  • The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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