Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Calvin Ridley to earn 10.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Calvin Ridley to be a less important option in his team's passing offense this week (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (35.5% in games he has played).

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