Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 91.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
In this game, Calvin Ridley is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.7 targets.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the formidable Bengals defense has conceded a puny 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-best rate in football.

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