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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
  • Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to accrue 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed a colossal 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Calvin Ridley checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a measly 57.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile among wide receivers

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