Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to accrue 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed a colossal 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Calvin Ridley checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a measly 57.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile among wide receivers

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