Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/-113).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.
The Tennessee offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Calvin Ridley is positioned as one of the top wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 1.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Favors Under
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 9th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 50.7 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has been a less important option in his offense's passing offense this season (5.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (16.5%).
After totaling 67.0 air yards per game last year, Calvin Ridley has been a disappointment this year, currently sitting at 16.0 per game.