Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 12:47 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Calvin Ridley comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 1.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 85th percentile.
The Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, allowing 9.77 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.
This year, the shaky Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a whopping 4.08 YAC.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this season (5.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (16.5%).
Calvin Ridley has accrued far fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (67.0 per game).

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