Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-175/+146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +574 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.
Calvin Ridley ranks in the 80th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season with a colossal 24.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
Calvin Ridley places in the 76th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 38.8 mark since the start of last season.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the poor New York Giants defense has surrendered a massive 142.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 49.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile among WRs

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