Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
When talking about air yards, Calvin Ridley grades out in the lofty 78th percentile among WRs last year, accruing a staggering 67.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley has been in the 77th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 43.2 mark last year.
Last year, the weak Jets defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a whopping 8.82 yards.
Last year, the poor Jets defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 0.00 YAC.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a measly 46.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 10th percentile among WRs
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (0th percentile) last year, Calvin Ridley ranks among the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL in space.

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