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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.9 targets.

The Bills pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to wide receivers this year (67.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.

The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Calvin Ridley's 18.5% Target Rate this season shows a noteworthy diminishment in his air attack workload over last season's 23.6% mark.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

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