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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).
  • The Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 10.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Calvin Ridley's 17.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass game volume over last year's 23.6% mark.
  • After accumulating 111.0 air yards per game last year, Calvin Ridley has been a disappointment this year, currently sitting at 92.0 per game.

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