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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With an impressive 91.4% Route Participation Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley rates among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

When it comes to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing an astounding 113.0 per game.

With an outstanding 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley rates among the best wide receivers in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Calvin Ridley's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 58.9% to 49.4%.

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